Tuesday, September 3, 2013

GIVING UP YOUR RIGHTS 20 March 2012

Once you accept giving up your rights, you will eventaully lose them all
من يتنازل لمرة واحدة فسوف يتنازل كثيرا بعدها حتى يسلب منه كل شيء


HOW FAR WILL A DESPERATE RADICAL AMERICA GO? By Ghassan Kadi 18 April 2012

HOW FAR WILL A DESPERATE RADICAL AMERICA GO?
Ghassan Kadi. 18 April 2012


There is little doubt that the global financial power shift is moving from West to East. If there is any controversy about the subject, it is only about its timing, but it is clear to all that China’s economy surpassing that of the US will happen in the near future.

The big question is what will America do to delay this process and/or try to totally prevent it. America’s “action” will largely depend on which America are we talking about, the mind-set in the Whitehouse, and the driving force behind the President at the time.

That said, a very small percentage of Americans are likely to take giving the centre court to China lightly. But how many will take it sitting down, and to what extent are they going to stand up and do something about it?

There is little doubt that fundamentalism in the whole world is on the rise, and America is not an exception. The white ultra-right TEA party is on the rise. This is not to forget the many number of heavily armed right-wing militia groups. If anything, the economic demise will bring about more job losses, and the anger will serve as an excellent recruitment tool for the radicals. In this climate, it is only likely that as America’s economy falls deeper and deeper into trouble, radicalism and fundamentalism will swell.

To imagine that by the time the Chinese economy gets close to be on par with that of the US and that the White House will have an incumbent President who will make Sarah Palin look like Mother Teresa is not unfathomable. In fact, it is highly likely.

Even now, the American economy is truly in tatters and only narrowly escaping official bankruptcy, firstly by virtue of still being able to get away with “financial easing”, a politically correct term that truly means printing money, and secondly, by still being able to borrow money either from overseas lenders and/or domestically.

This scenario cannot continue for much longer and, soon enough Americans are going to realize that their government has borrowed trillions of dollars (3-4) from the private retirement funds of average moms and dads. This is money that the treasury is not going to be able to repay. The dirt will hit the fan when those investors reach their retirement age and realise that their nest-egg has been blown away. Yet more food for anger and more fuel for radicalism.

For America to be able to pull of this mess in the near future or the lesser mess it is in now, it will need resources, determination, and proper planning.

The natural resources have been but wiped out, oil and minerals have been exploited, and the vast irrigated plains are already running out of ground water. The human resource in America cannot compete with the massive Chinese numbers. China is already producing more science graduates than the USA, and the gap will only to widen.

Determination does not seem to be in the right place of Americans hearts. Proper determination should begin with tightening the belt and rolling up the sleeves. Instead, Americans are not trying to reduce their spendings and they are blaming only banks, big business and the government and seem unprepared and unwilling to make any sacrifices.

Proper planning also seems to be missing because, in America, this implies totalitarianism and is tantamount to Communism. The only situation in which the American government is able to take a totalitarian action is that of declaring war.

Totally bankrupt, with an army that hasn't the funds to fight a conventional war, and even if it did have such funds, it would not be strong enough to spread wide, deep and far enough in order to be able to capture territory and keep the Chinese and Russians at bay. Hence, the only foreseeable supremacy that the US would possess is its nuclear power.

It must be borne in mind however that for China to surpass America’s defence technology and prowess, that will come decades after China’s economy becomes the largest in the world.

The USA is always accused of keeping its hands on the oil resources of the Middle East. For fairness, by-and-large, it is “only” controlling its flow, but still paying for it; albeit in printed money.

A bankrupt, desperate and oil-thirsty USA may feel compelled to threaten oil-rich countries with air-strikes and even nuclear attacks, should they continue to supply oil to the Chinese and Russians.

In an escalated situation, at stage two, an isolated oil-thirsty USA may become tempted to literally steal this oil. The USA may start with easy, close targets such as Venezuela. A desperate USA with a radical President in the Whitehouse will possibly be tempted to take over by force the oil fields of such soft targets. This can be the beginning of a long path of piracy.

How far can this path be pursued is anyone’s guess. The next target can be a puppet state like Qatar, even Saudi Arabia itself.

In such a desperate stage, the USA can only rely on its nuclear supremacy in order for it to be able to force its way. It will not have the financial resources to put boots on the ground, and any ensuing internal strife potentially caused by financial woes will add to the expense and risks of this exercise.

The radical hawks will be up-in-arms calling for the use of nuclear weapons, and any country that stands in the way of America can be nuked. There will be preachers and instigators calling for the nuking of Mecca and the takeover of oil from the Islamic terrorists.

And the Middle East will probably be full of Islamic terrorists by then. After all, the so-called Arab Spring has been hijacked by the USA, but with the short-sightedness of American foreign policies, at the end of the day, the Arab World is being handed to the Islamists on a silver platter. Only Syria, Iran and Lebanon are standing in the way of the master US/Israeli plan.

To predict that in a few more years the rule of the Saudi family will come to an end is not unrealistic. If/when they get toppled, the only candidates for taking over are the Islamists. Would this not be enough incentive for the radical ultra-right wing US President of that time to invade the land of the former ally and forcefully take over the oil, even at the risk of instigating a small scale nuclear war?

And if the home-grown hawks are not crowing loud enough to implement radical action by their Federal Government, the Israel Lobby will be in a much more desperate situation. By that time, Israel will be surrounded by radical regimes and will be facing a struggle for survival. If America does not draw the first nuke-blood, Israel may take this initiative and drag America into a decision it was not able to make on its own.

Realistically, no nation is close to winning any nuclear war with the USA. In the event of a major nuclear escalation with say China, the USA will be able to wipe out all the major Chinese cities before it suffers any serious retaliation from the Chinese.

The only real nuclear threat is Russia, and the USA can either avoid confrontation with Russia and/or rely on its superiority in the field and the fact that most of the Soviet era nukes have deteriorated beyond repair.

In reality, a full-on nuclear confrontation with Russia will inflict more harm to the USA than a confrontation with the Chinese, but it will annihilate Russia before it inflicts any serious damage on the USA.

The radical hawks will be pushing the nuclear agenda whilst America is still the strongest nuclear power and before it loses this opportunity.

During the Cold War, a nuclear confrontation was averted because the two powers were virtually on par with each other and none were in a stage of desperation. When the USSR crumbled, the state of desperation came from within and a confrontation with the USA would not have solved the problem.

Last but not least, in the 1950’s-80’s, the USA was not prepared to take any nuclear risk of any magnitude. But a bankrupt USA may become more than prepared to sacrifice a major city or two.

Any other confrontation, ie other than nuclear, will hasten America’s demise. The Iraq/Afghanistan wars have cost the treasury a total of three trillion dollars of borrowed money. Even another regional conventional war with Iran may become the financial straw that will break America’s economic back.

So when push comes to shove, if America does not accept the changes of the tides, and if it remains determined to keep its stature by hook or by crook, its only option will have to be nuclear-backed piracy and quick and decisive nuclear action.

WE TOLD YOU SO: Ghassan Kadi 21 May 2012

WE TOLD YOU SO:
Ghassan Kadi
21 May 2012
 

So… the Syrian events are spilling into Lebanon. I hate to say the I/we who know about the region, have told you that it would. I hate to also say that when we said it would, we were not talking about a so-called Arab-Spring... spilling into Lebanon, the like of which we saw in Egypt, and which called for reform and freedom. Our fear was purely about a bloody sectarian conflict. Yes, we told you so.

In Syria now, the calls for freedom and democracy have all but gone silence. We also told you so. And they have been replaced by Allah Akbar and pure sectarian calls to turn Syria into a Sunni fundamentalist state. We also told you so.

A Sunni Sheikh, Ahmed Abdel Wahed gets killed in Lebanon, and Lebanon is on the brink of yet another sectarian war.

No rational person condones killing in any given situation, but a rational analysis of the killing of the Sheikh can perhaps give a possible explanation of how and why it happened.

To begin with, Abdel Wahed was an outspoken supporter of Hariri, the core of Sunni fundamentalism in Lebanon. The Hariri camp refers to Abdel Wahed as a martyr and a man of God. His opponents describe him as a sectarian rascal spreading sectarian anti-Alawite hatred in the hearts and minds of young Sunni Lebanese youth as well as a militarised arms trader. No one seems to be able to pin point what he really was with clear evidence.

But why would a Lebanese army checkpoint shoot to kill?

If there was truly a Lebanese Army conspiracy to kill Abdel Wahed as his mourners claim, the Army intelligence would have found a way to do so in a manner that does not overtly implicate it. Would it not?

Even during the ugly Lebanese Civil War when all sorts of militia groups were in control of the streets and check points, the “rule” for passing traffic was to stop at checkpoints and accept being searched. Shots were fired only and only when the travelling car did not stop. And when they did not stop, they did so for good reasons because they had something or someone to hide.

So if the rogue combatant militia run and led by thugs stuck to this rule, it is only rational to think that the regular Lebanese army would also stick to this rue. There is no reason as to why it would not.

The most likely scenario is that the Sheikh and his companion driver had some “thing” to hide, not some “one” to hide. Most likely, they were hiding weapons that they were couriering from some point A to another point B.

In any which way one looks at the situation, outsiders are not in a position to understand the complexity of the situation in the Middle East.

The uprising in Syria is not about reform. It is not about democracy. It is about sectarianism, sponsored by the Sunni Arab funds (Saudi Arabia and Qatar) under the blessing of the USA with a political objective to maintain Israel’s military superiority in the region and a financial objective to keep in control of the oil.

Targeting Syria is for “good” reasons, because it is the only Arab state left that opposes Israel, and the only one in which Moslems and Christians live under a law that gives equal rights to all.
This tragedy can spill into Iraq, Jordan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia…. and sees Sunnis and Shiites engaging into a blood bath the likes of which has not been seen for centuries anywhere in the world. Nothing can serve Israel better.

I just hope that I won’t have to find myself in a situation in the future to say to the pundits and cynics, those who support the Syrian uprising; I told you so.


Originally Published:

In Syria now, the calls for freedom and democracy have all but gone silence. We also told you so. And they have been replaced by Allah Akbar and pure sectarian calls to turn Syria into a Sunni fundamentalist state. We also told you so.


A Sunni Sheikh, Ahmed Abdel Wahed gets killed in Lebanon, and Lebanon is on the brink of yet another sectarian war.

No rational person condones killing in any given situation, but a rational analysis of the killing of the Sheikh can perhaps give a possible explanation of how and why it happened.

To begin with, Abdel Wahed was an outspoken supporter of Hariri, the core of Sunni fundamentalism in Lebanon. The Hariri camp refers to Abdel Wahed as a martyr and a man of God. His opponents describe him as a sectarian rascal spreading sectarian anti-Alawite hatred in the hearts and minds of young Sunni Lebanese youth as well as a militarised arms trader. No one seems to be able to pin point what he really was with clear evidence.

But why would a Lebanese army checkpoint shoot to kill?

If there was truly a Lebanese Army conspiracy to kill Abdel Wahed as his mourners claim, the Army intelligence would have found a way to do so in a manner that does not overtly implicate it. Would it not?

Even during the ugly Lebanese Civil War when all sorts of militia groups were in control of the streets and check points, the “rule” for passing traffic was to stop at checkpoints and accept being searched. Shots were fired only and only when the travelling car did not stop. And when they did not stop, they did so for good reasons because they had something or someone to hide.

So if the rogue combatant militia run and led by thugs stuck to this rule, it is only rational to think that the regular Lebanese army would also stick to this rue. There is no reason as to why it would not.

The most likely scenario is that the Sheikh and his companion driver had some “thing” to hide, not some “one” to hide. Most likely, they were hiding weapons that they were couriering from some point A to another point B.

In any which way one looks at the situation, outsiders are not in a position to understand the complexity of the situation in the Middle East.

The uprising in Syria is not about reform. It is not about democracy. It is about sectarianism, sponsored by the Sunni Arab funds (Saudi Arabia and Qatar) under the blessing of the USA with a political objective to maintain Israel’s military superiority in the region and a financial objective to keep in control of the oil.

Targeting Syria is for “good” reasons, because it is the only Arab state left that opposes Israel, and the only one in which Moslems and Christians live under a law that gives equal rights to all.
This tragedy can spill into Iraq, Jordan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia…. and sees Sunnis and Shiites engaging into a blood bath the likes of which has not been seen for centuries anywhere in the world. Nothing can serve Israel better.

I just hope that I won’t have to find myself in a situation in the future to say to the pundits and cynics, those who support the Syrian uprising; I told you so.
Originally Published:

يا حيف عطرابلس و اهالي طرابلس 24 May 2102

 
يا حيف عطرابلس و اهالي طرابلس

لست من طرابلس ولكنني اعرفها تمام للمعرفه و افهم تفكير اهلها و تكفيرهم.

فمنذ الزمن الذي عشته و أتذكره، فان طرابلس كانت و لا تزال مسرحا لانعدام القانون و المنطق.
...
فمنذ "ثورة" ١٩٥٨ لحين يومنا هذا، و طرابلس متأرجحة بين استسلام الغوغاء و التارجح بين هذا و ذاك و لوم الاخرين لما يحصل لها.

فأثناء صعود عبدالناصر، كرست المدينة نفسها رمزا للعروبة و رفضت كل الرفض كونها لبنانية الكيان. وأيام الوحدة العربية، كانت طرابلس تتباهى بإسم طرابلس الشام وتتنحل من كل ما هو لبناني وكانت صور عبدالناصر تتصدر كل منزل وشارع. و كان كل ما هو لبناني يعتبر و كانه أميركي استعماري. و كان الجيش اللبناني و العلم و الارزة كلهم معرضون للسخرية و الذم.

و عندما استقال عبدالناصر اثر هزيمة حزيران ٦٧، قامت القائمة و تظاهر زعران البلد و احرقوا كل متجر يحمل اسما بحروف لاتينية، فطرابلس بنظرهم كانت معقل
العروبة.

و فيً اواخر الستينات، قام فاروق المقدم بعصيان مدني. و لم لا؟ فسيطرة آل كرامي السياسية للمدينة أقلقت راحته و هو الذي اعتبر نفسه مغبونا و ان أسرته قد تحجمت.

فباسم محاربة الإقطاع، جاهد الإقطاعي المغبون استرجاع جاه نسبه ولكن "ثورته" لم تقم لها قائمة الا بعد اندلاع الحرب الاهلية عام ٧٥.

و لن ننسي دولة المطلوبين برئاسة احمد القدور و من آزره.

كل هذا و ذاك حصل تحت انف العائلات الطرابلسية "العريقة" و دون اي رد فعل عملي و واقعي.

وعند إندلاع الحرب الأهلية أصبحت طرابلس آنذاك مدينة الثورة حصن اليسار والحركات التقدمية ضد الانعزاليين و الإمبرياليين و من شابه.

و فجأة، و بسحر ساحر، اصبحت طرابلس قلعة المسلمين، و ها هي اليوم بعد المزيد من الشقلبات بلد فالت بيد زعران سعد الحريري و لا نقمة عند اهلها الا ضد سورية و المقاومة ضد اسرائيل و تقف اليوم يدا بيد مع اليمين المتطرف المسيحي ضد كل ما هو سوري او شيعي.

المضحك المبكي ان اهالي طرابلس اليوم قد وجدوا بديل لآل كرامي، و معظمهم يدعي انهم يريدون تحرير البلد من العصابات، و معظمهم أيضاً غاضبون من نزوح زبالة الضنية و عكار و لكنهم يواكبون الحريري و هو الذي يمول المذكورين و يمدهم بالمال و السلاح.

فكيف تتحول تلك المدينة من عاصمة العروبة لعاصمة الدفاع عن الثورة الفلسطينيه ضد الإنعزالية و"الصليبية" لعاصمة الاسلام لمعقل اللبننة و دعم عصابات جعحع و الحريري السعودي الأميركي و المتواطئون مع أميركا ؟ من يدري.

إذا كان هذا التحويل الغريب علامة تطور ونضوج، لرأينا ملامح نهضة وإرتقاء، ولكن كل ما نراه هو دلائل إنحطاط وتقهقر. فيا حيف عطرابلس و اهالي طرابلس.

لما كان رشيد كرامي زعيم طرابلس كانت الطاسة ضائعة ولكن إذا قيس وضع البلد آنذاك بما هو عليه اليوم، فحقاً سنقول أن الدنيا كانت بألف خير. وذلك لأن من يسمون أنفسهم الزعماء الجدد سلموا البلد للزعران لأنهم أنفسهم زعران.

من كان يشك بالأمر فلينظر يمينا و شمالا. طرابلس اليوم مدينة تحت قيد الإعتقال و سجانيها هم الكلاب المسلحة و التي يباركها نواب البلد.

آل كبارة معروفون و تاريخهم يوضح أنهم شحاذون يعيشون عالخبز و الزعتر و مشايخهم يحجون عن الأموات مقابل أجر، أو يلوون بألسنتهم في كلام الله في الأتراح و يسمونه تجويدا أيضا مقابل أجر، أو و أو يعتكفون في الجوامع أيضاً و أيضاً مقابل أجر مادي، .يتاجرون بالدين و يشترون به ثمنا قليلا. لعن الله صلاتهم و قيامهم و قعودهم فهم أهل نفاق. يدعون أنهم من سلالة الرسول الكريم و هم من سلالة الدجال اللعين ونطفةٌ من صرب إبليس. سماهم في قبح وجوههم فجعلهم كالقرود إيعاذاً بمسخهم يوم يقولون ليتنا كنا ترابا. .

.
و خالد ضاهر حقير و منافق رخيص و عوني مصباح الأحدب كان يلحق صبيان. يا عيني على هكذا نواب ويا حسرة عليك يا طرابلس فقد نامت نواطيرك عن ثعالبك و بعون الله سيعود الكل لأصله قريبا.

أما الصفدي فجمع أمواله بأموال الزنا و الحرام وهو نفسه الذي جعل من قبر ابنه مزارا و كأنه من موالينا الأنبياء و الرسل.

أما داعي الشيطان الشهال فلم يقدر أن يدخل البرلمان و هو بنظره حق له فهو من آل
الشهال و بنظره آل الشهال لهم نفس الحق كحق آل كبارة و ميقاتي و غيرهم من القرود و الأفاعي التي أفسدت الارض بعد سقوط الإمبراطورية الكرامية. فرضي بدور رئيس عصابة مرتزقة لأن يده لم تطل أكثر. قتله الله .

وحتى الميقاتي نفسه، وهو الشريف بالنسبة لهم، لم يصبح مليونير حتي سرق الشعب ولم يقدر أن يبقى في باب السياسة إلى بعد أن إنصاع لطاعة سعد بيك، ولما كثف ريشة، أكل الطعم ويكفينا ما حصل للصنارة.
فيا حسرتاه لهكذا زعماء الذين جلبوا عكاريت آل حسون و هرموش وغيرهم من البجم والغجر والبربر و من عاشرهم من ذوي السلطان الأكبر ليجروا البلد لحرب مذهبية بأموال حرامي الحرمين و قطر و قواد لبنان الأكبر سعد الحريري لعن الله ذكره.

لا يخجل هؤلاء الكلاب ومن آزرهم من أبناء البلد والعائلات "العريقة" من وضع اللوم و كل اللوم بأهالي جبل محسن، تلك الضاحية الصغيرة المطوقة و المعدومة الموارد و التي يعيش أهلها تحت فقر مدقع و أحوال لا تبعد كثيرا عن أحوال غزة. ولكن حقدهم المذهبي أعماهم و أموال المحرضين تغريهم و ما يحصل للبلد فهو ليس مهم لهم ، لعنهم الله.

فيا حيف على طرابلس وأهالي طرابلس، ولكن مثلما تكونوا يولى عليكم، فلا تلوموا إلا أنفسكم. لا تكذبوا وتتظاهروا انكم غير راضون عن وضع بلدكم. فمعظمكم حريريون طائفيون مذهبيون منافقون وتفضلون إسرائيل على سورية. اخترتم مواكبة القواد، فاشربوا علقم كأسه هنيئاً لكم.
See Translation

EXPOSING THE ASSAD LEGACY 30 May 2012

EXPOSING THE ASSAD LEGACY: It has been confirmed. This is the list of atrocities committed by the Assad legacy of Syria.

1. Building the Berlin Wall.
2. Establishing Zionsim.
3. Starting World wars I & II.
4. Global warming, and
5. Dropping the A-Bomb on Hiroshima


Originally published
https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=323684621041025&set=a.108568162552673.13501.100001984705808&type=3 

NOT ANOTHER CASE OF 'I TOLD YOU SO'. By Ghassan Kadi 3 June 2012

Not Another Case of “I told you so”.

By Ghassan Kadi

3 June 2012

The Houla massacre has demonstrated that the Syrian opposition will not stop at anything in order to perpetrate lies and pour oil on fire. As usual, and without any investigations, the US was quick to condemn the Syrian government knowing very well that for 40 years of Assad rule, any form of sectarianism was illegal.

There is no point trying to defend the ...Syrian government with logic and giving examples. This is because those who have decided to condemn the government belong to either one of the following groups: (1) Fanatics with sectarian agendas; (2) Mercenaries who are paid to stand up; (3) well intentioned people who have been goofed by the lies of Western media; (4) the perpetrators and conspirators themselves.

It is amazing how the Western media are totally ignoring the fact that the Syrian opposition has kidnapped 11 Lebanese Shia pilgrims. There is absolutely no doubt in anyone’s mind that the perpetrators are the Opposition and that the act was that of sectarian prejudice. Knowing that this same opposition managed to draw quite a bit of mileage from its Houla massacre this is the scenario I fear: The opposition thugs would now be thinking that if the Houla massacre wasn’t effective enough to instigate foreign military intervention, those mindless thugs may execute their hostages and then plan the execution of some Sunnis in Lebanon in the blatant attempt to blame Hizbollah in order to push Lebanon again into the abyss of tit-for-tat sectarian war.

It should not be difficult for these thugs to identify some Sunnis who do not support them and/or personal enemies, thereby literally killing two birds with one stone and making their own victims appear like martyrs.

I would hate to see myself in a few days saying “I told you so”.
https://www.facebook.com/ghassan.kadi.7/posts/326145167461637

THE ALLIANCE OF THE FEARFUL By Ghassan Kadi 10 June 2012


THE ALLIANCE OF THE FEARFUL
By Ghassan Kadi
10 June 2012

 Sheikh Abdullah Tamimi is a rather insignificant figure in the Levant and the future of Syria is not contingent upon his radical views, but when he appears on Israeli TV (Channel 2. Link below, in English with a... short Arabic intro)) proclaiming that Syria and Israel are not enemies, he is in fact talking about a paradigm shift, a shift that is trying to draw new lines and new alliances in what an analytical assessment of the recent events in the Levant can only regard as one that is desperate.

His stand is an overt exposure of what is better known as the Arab Spring; a term that was meant to signify self-expression, deposing dictators, and the establishment of long-awaited political freedom in the Arab World.

The desperate nature of this shift is a direct result of reality; a reality that implies that time is neither on the side of the foreign policies of the USA, nor it is on the side of the expansive aspirations of Israel.

There is little doubt that Israel reached its peak on the eve of its 6-Day War victory in 1967. The military triumph soon turned into a nightmare, and Israel is still reeling from the downfall of its victory not knowing and not able to deal with the land and people it occupied.

Several Intifadas in Palestine and several defeats in Lebanon later have painted Israel in a corner; not knowing if a military solution is any longer feasible, albeit conceivable.

To compound Israel’s dilemma further, the clock is ticking and the economic demise of the USA is only a question of time. Even if this demise does not eventuate in a crash as some pundit predict, there is little doubt that America will soon lose its global economic superiority and that as a consequence, the flood of funds to Israel will be reduced to a trickle and even perhaps be totally cut off.

Knowing that it can no longer win wars without taking huge risks that could well and truly challenge its very existence, Israel is trying to turn some of its regional foes into friends and even perhaps allies.

It is fortuitous for the strategists in Israel that the Sunni/Shiite divide has been rekindled in the region. The rise of Iran has evoked dormant fears within the hearts and minds of Sunnis who fear what they refer to as “Tashyee’a” (ie turning the region into a Shiite enclave).

The Arab states that are most fearful of this spectre are the “Gulfies”; ie the Saudis, Qataris, Bahrainis, etc… Ironically, the ongoing uprising in Bahrain is not seen as part-and-parcel of the Arab Spring, but to the ruling families of the Gulfies, they regard it as a pilot light, a fire that could engulf them all.

Iran’s aspirations, including its nuclear agenda, are any one’s guess.
On the surface, Iran defines itself as an Islamic State with Shiite Islam being its foundation.

A closer look at the current military map of the region however clearly shows that Iran is surrounded by NATO troops, in Afghanistan, Iraq, bases in Turkey, naval ships in the Persian Gulf, and last but not least a strong logistic base in Qatar and a virtually endless oil supply in Saudi Arabia. And this is not to mention the on-going Israeli threats of military action and cyber warfare.

If Iran indeed has aspirations to develop an A-Bomb to create a deterrent, strategic military thinking would “justify” such an aspiration. After all, events in the last few decades have indicated that having a nuclear arsenal was the only guarantee that the USA would leave a nation that does not tow the US line alone..

The above scenario exposes two rising groups in the Levant; the fearful and the hopeful.

The hopeful group is the one that can see the unstoppable tide of change, a change that can bring Israel to its knees. This group includes Iran, Syria, and all other factions who oppose Israel.

The fearful group is one that has two main subdivisions; those who want to maintain the status quo (ie Israel and US interests), and those who are fearful of being swallowed up by a Shiite take-over; ie the Sunni fundamentalists.

The fearful subgroups, when/if united, constitute very odd bed fellows to put it mildly. After all, NATO is still engaging in a deadly war in Afghanistan against the Talibans.

Recent developments in Syria and Lebanon have however clearly indicated that both of those fearful subgroups are prepared to turn a blind eye to Afghanistan. The interview of Sheikh Abdullah Tamimi says it all; if one is able to read in between the lines.

There is little doubt that we are seeing the emergence of the most unlikely alliance; an alliance that includes Sunni fundamentalists, Israel and the USA.

All the while, Turkey is watching with the eyes of a vulture because it has its own regional historic ambitions. It may join this group and/or wait to form its own, under a new Ottoman umbrella.

That said, the sovereignty of Syria and Syrians should only be decided by its people. This however cannot be achieved before decisions are made at national level. And when Syrians reach this level of awakening, decisions of this nature will need to overcome volatile sectarian divisions that find easy and multitude of sponsors to support.

Syria has been on this path. For the last forty years or so, it stood alone as an independent self-sufficient secular state that opposed the Israel lobby and the NATO plans in the region.

It is little wonder why Sergey Lavrov Russian Foreign Minister has recently said that: “The way world is in the future depends on the outcome of the Syrian crisis”.

Originally Published here
https://www.facebook.com/ghassan.kadi.7/posts/142071819262148

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Xbu864lfwg&feature=youtu.be&fb_source=message