Sunday, September 13, 2015

THE CAPITULATION OF GRAND LIBAN: in French Translation. By Ghassan Kadi

Ghassan's Article "The Capitulation of Grand Lebanon" translated into French

THE CAPITULATION OF GRAND LIBAN: Ghassan is linking the current crises in Lebanon to its history as being part of Syria and being unable to be a stand-alone nation state, and to the fact that it is by nature of its creation, a state the system of which has been based on sectarianism and corruption. Some predictions are drawn based on this view.

The original is here

Monday, September 7, 2015

JE SUIS AYLAN? By Ghassan and Intibah Kadi 7 September 2015

Je suis Aylan?

By Ghassan and Intibah Kadi

7 September 2015

"What we should be looking at now is the wave of Syrian refugees flooding into Europe. There are many question marks about this subject, question marks that do not meet the eye without some deeper investigation."

Saturday, September 5, 2015

THE CAPITULATION OF GRAND LIBAN. By Ghassan Kadi. 4 September 2015

THE CAPITULATION OF GRAND LIBAN:  In this article Ghassan is linking the current crises in Lebanon to its history as being part of Syria and being unable to be a stand-alone nation state, and to the fact that it is by nature of its creation, a state the system of which has been based on sectarianism and corruption. Some predictions are drawn based on this view.

RUSSIAN DIPLOMACY OR MUSCLES?: Commentary by Ghassan Kadi 2 September 2015

Commentary by Ghassan Kadi
2 September  2015

Under he title of “The American Cowboy Gets Rebuffed Before the Russian Tsar”, Amin Abou-Rashed wrote an article on Al-Manar that analyses recent diplomatic developments regarding the multi-faceted Russia’s talk initiatives in the Levant.
According to his analysis, the author emphasizes that its plans in the Levant have failed and that it has no option but to give the Russian initiative a chance, otherwise, the spread of ISIS is going to go more out of control thus endangering American allies as well as America itself. The Iran nuclear deal is part-and-parcel of the whole scenario, because without a pivotal role for Iran, the Russian initiative will not have the power on the ground to make it happen.
Even the Saudis and Netanyahu are now saying (according to the article) that they do not mind Iran having peaceful nuclear technology for energy generation; a major step back and a face-saving attempt, although they both keep reiterating that they are totally opposed to giving Iran any opportunity to develop nukes.
Within this climate, there are talks about direct military intervention in Syria. The Saker, among other analysts, sees this to be unlikely.
Russia's leverage now is more diplomatic than military. Everyone (even the US) seems to be willing to give the diplomatic Russian ME initiative a go, so why use military prowess whilst diplomacy is working? Some would argue that the military prowess is needed to combat ISIS not the former anti-Syrian cocktail, but if Russia's diplomatic efforts succeed, and if they manage to convince the former/current supporters of ISIS to stop the lifeline support, then the Syrian Army should be able to do the necessary clean up.
Furthermore, on the military front, the Syrian Army is always gaining ground. It has not used all of its might and it does not need more help than the one it already has. If indeed Syria would ever need extra boots on the ground or planes in the skies, Iran will lend a hand before Russia needs to. After all, Iranian troops can enter Syria in Hezbollah uniforms.

PRESIDENT ASSAD INTERVIEW ON AL-MANAR. Summary in English in dot points by Ghassan Kadi. 26 August 2015

PRESIDENT ASSAD INTERVIEW ON AL-MANAR: In dot point, Al-Manar has reported its recent interview with Syria President Bashar Al-Assad. The link to the interview (in Arabic) is attached below. It is presented in a dot-point format.
The Arabic version was partly translated into English and published on Al-Manar English (link below). However, we feel that some key statements were left out, especially in relation to Syria’s very strong relationships with Russia among other things.
We are therefore presenting the “missing” statements that have not been published on Al-Manar English.
21:38. President Assad: When we reach the stage at which all states put an end to their involvement in the conspiracy against Syria and in shedding Syrian blood as well as offering money, weapons and terrorists, we can then say that we have reached the final minutes.
21:38. President Assad: When external support for terrorism stops, it will become a lot easier to fight the terrorists.
21:40. President Assad: The political path is essential to reach a resolution for the crisis, but thus far it has not yet established all the necessary elements, especially that some states are still supporting terrorism.
21:50. President Assad: The United States has a history of making dodgy statements, and this has become a distinctive feature of American politics.
21:51. President Assad: Russian policies are principled and steadfast, with an assurance that they are not based on supporting a certain person or president, but on supporting well-defined principles that include respect for sovereignty and people’s choices.
21:53. President Assad: We have a high level of confidence in the Russians, and they have proved that they are true to their words, and Moscow has strong relationships with Syria.
21:54. President Assad: There will not be an agreement on anything unless we, as Syrians, sit together to discuss, and this is something Russia does not refuse 
21:54. President Assad: The meetings that are currently taking place in Russia may lead to Geneva 3 or to Moscow 3, and this will largely depend on the international climate.
22:08. President Assad: The crux of the issue is not to topple regimes, these are only tools. The real objective is to destroy the identity.
22:14. President Assad: The relationship with Sayyed Nasrallah is very solid and goes back more than twenty years.
22:16. President Assad: There is an overwhelming understanding in Iraq to fight jointly with Syria, because it is the same enemy and the outcomes are identical.
22:21. President Assad: It is not possible for states that have supported terrorism will fight it, but there is a small possibility that they have repented and realised that they were going in the wrong direction.
22:21. President Assad: The states that supported terrorism for mere interest-based objectives have grown worried that terrorism was going to spread and reach its soil, so they decided to fight it.
The full Arabic text:

THE SAKER INTERVIEWS OMAR MA'ARABOUNI. Translation by Ghassan and Intibah Kadi 19 August 2015

Ghassan Kadi and Intibah Kadi produced two translations for The Saker who interviewed two key military men in Lebanon about the War on Syria.

Here's the second interview we translated for the Saker. Another testimony of Syria's upcoming victory.

The Saker interviews Omar Ma’arabouni

19 August 2015


Ghassan Kadi and Intibah Kadi produced two translations for The Saker who interviewed two key military men in Lebanon about the War on Syria.

Here is the first one published on 13 August 2015

The Saker interviews General (Ret.) Amine Htaite of the Lebanese Armed Forces

VICTORY OR VICTORY by Ghassan Kadi 13 August 2015

Ghassan Kadi
13 August 2015

As the situation on the ground in Syria is very dynamic, we cannot expect all changes to be positive and most definitely we cannot expect even all of the positive ones to be recognised and perceived as being positive. The key to “feeling good” is proper understanding, resolve and patience.
Proper Understanding: this does not mean only reading the news. At best, news accurately describes the situation on the ground. More often than otherwise, most of what is reported on the news is either misconstrued, deliberately exaggerated to serve a political objective for the enemy, or an all-out lie...and we have seen many of these in the last four years.
At best therefore, we cannot expect “news” to tell us the full story. Proper understanding therefore should be based on sifting through the news to establish myths from facts, and then adding to it our own analysis or those of others whom we can trust.
Resolve: the biggest component of resolve is events on the battleground, the resolve of the soldier sitting in his position with his finger on the trigger, thinking least of his own safety, “ignoring” his family and loved ones and focusing on one thing and one thing only; protecting his post, obeying orders and winning the battle.
Proud nations have citizens that support their army and in doing this they provide the resolve that forms the backbone of that of their soldiers. This is exactly what we have seen in Syria in the last four years or so from both the military and the majority of Syrians. Never mind the minority of citizens who did not honour this pledge. Never mind the traitors and the cowards, every community has them. They come and go like the wind, and when they have gone all they leave behind is a tarnish of shame to their name.
Those with resolve, the ones who fell and died fighting for it, the ones who fight and achieve victory as well as those who protected their back, cooked them meals, kept the streets clean, kept the spirits up and kept smiling in the face of all difficulty will be the ones who will be remembered in shining colours.
Patience: this is the key missing element that will bring proper understanding and resolve together in order to achieve victory. The patient warrior, as well as the man and the woman and child behind him, do not count minutes, days, months or even years, for the moment they start counting they become impatient.
Patience has also been an attribute of all proud nations including Syria, and it is not time to give it up.
All indications point to the direction that the war on Syria is in its final stages. Informed analysts who are able to make a comprehensive sense out of the news all concur with this.
Intibah and I have recently translated two interviews that The Saker has made with prominent Levantine former military officers, turned analysts. One has already been published and the next one will be published soon. Both experts agree to what we have been re-iterating on this page for quite some time and, specifically after the “fall” of Palmyra. The gist of what they are saying is this;
(1) The Syrian army and the resistance have the upper hand on the ground;
(2) The enemies of Syria have failed in their plots time and time again;
(3) What is seen as SAA retreats in certain areas is a matter of actual re-deployment. The objective of the leadership is to bolster the position of the State and the Army in key areas within the main cities in order to secure the viability of the State and Army, continuity and to ensure preparedness for a long and protracted war need the case be. 
What is missing in those interviews are the recent developments and specifically the Russian initiative which is already underway. There is also an Iranian initiative that has been tossed around and a myriad of bi-lateral and tri-lateral talks involving Russia, Syria, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Iran, UAE, Oman and most certainly the United States. Little is known at this stage whether Turkey partook in any of these yet. The reason why this very pertinent development has not been mentioned in those interviews is because they were conducted prior to that.
So friends, comrades and members, do not lose your faith now.
It is hard to be in Damascus enjoying its ancient city and smelling its jasmine, and not be utterly bemused and shocked when a mortar shell falls and impact is felt. It is double hard when loved ones are affected, trapped or at worst harmed or killed. 
After four and a half years we have few choices left; more resolve and determination followed by victory or surrendering to the woes of depression.
The recent shellings of Damascus and the terrible massacre in Idlib plus other recent events, grave and disturbing as they are, are sadly the price that Syria is paying in the war against it.
On the other hand, the battle of the Qalamoun is almost finished, Zabadani has been almost fully liberated, the army is making many advances in Tadmor and other areas, and this is where we need to keep our eyes fixed upon because, in reality, the only choice we have is victory.